from Ed in Red)
Thu, 15 Jan 2004
Risk Management Article
I enjoyed your risk management article.
Regarding the coin-toss example of Fixed bet vs. Fixed-Fraction bet:
I am confused by the 2:1 payoff for the winning coin toss, vs. a 1:1 loss
losing coin toss.
The rules read [my
comment]: “Let's say the rules for the game are: (1) we start with $1,000
[OK], (2) we always bet that heads come up [OK], (3) we can bet any amount
that we have left [OK], (4) if tails comes up,
we lose our bet [OK], (5) if heads comes up, we do not lose our bet;
instead, we win twice as much as we bet [Confused], and (6) the coin is fair
and so the probability of heads is 50% [OK].”
I agree with the bet payoff language from a cash flow illustration:
I have $1000 in my pocket. I take $10 from my pocket and place it on the
I win, and collect $20, and place it back in my pocket (my $10 plus winnings
$10, or “twice as much” as I bet, which is reasonable for a 50%
winning). However, I had $990 in my pocket after I placed the bet, which
me with $1010 in my pocket the bet. In order to match your result of $1020,
would have to receive my $10 bet back and another $20 in winnings.
Would you clarify if the 2:1 payout ($10 bet plus $20 in winnings) for a
winning toss is an arbitrary setting for the purpose of illustration in the
risk management article?
can bet your $10 without taking it out of your pocket.
you win, you receive $20 and you can put that in your pocket, If you lose,
you take $10 out of your pocket.
after one $10 bet, you wind up with either $1020 or $990 in your pocket.
protect your pocket,
sure you understand the game
Thu, 15 Jan 2004
Inter-Tribe Communication from LA
Thank you again for facilitating and allowing me to do hardball. Never
imagined would be doing it so soon.
Arriving home minutes before midnight, I clearly saw my trend chart of my
life. When things start getting good, I take profit fast. When things start
going against me, I hang on, closing out much later from a losing
relationship, etc. I played my system well. Now, by hardball, I am enabling
me to use my new system, which is a new market, I desire, vs the existing
market I don't desire. My existing life trend chart, I trade that
excellently and given me the results of short gains and bigger loses. I see
my new life trend chart, I trade also excellently and it gives me results of
many gains that way outweigh my few small loses that just is normal part of
life, Like slowly losing my hair.
Last night, on way home, being so spaced out when I paid for gas, I gave the
attended what I thought was a 20 and 2 ones and turned out to be a 20, a 10,
and 1. Most I ever paid per gallon. Yet, worth every penny.
Definitely, driving home was a challenge, took lots of concentration because
more wonderful stuff keep bubbling up.
Looking forward to next meeting. Thanks for making this possible .
Thu, 15 Jan 2004
What I wish to accomplish: To untie at least one K-not and regain my health.
If you are willing to interview me by phone, the best time to call is Monday
to Friday, 13:00 - 15:00 EST. My work number is (XXX) XXX-XXXX
might like to consider attending some Tribe meetings in your area. If
you wish private consulting, with me, see the Ground Rules.
that case, send me, by email, a description of your health issue, what you
are currently doing about it, and what you wish to accomplish.
Thu, 15 Jan 2004
Below are my comments for the newsletter. I have been going through a tough
stretch personally and could not send this earlier. I hope you are well and
again truly appreciate your intellectual honesty in developing the Tribe
brother-in-law is a psychiatrist and he was interested in the process in
that, unlike his professional training, it does not require the receiver to
accept the burden as his own.
If I can offer my time and help to you or the Tribe effort in pursue its
goals please feel free to call on me.
I have often thought back to the good intentions and feelings from our Reno
meeting. To share a common goal and have it lead to common good for all is
an exceptional enterprise.
My goals were met when I introduced my trading system to my wife's inner
city students. With price charts removed and only graphs appearing on a page
they were able to follow simple written instructions and pick entry and exit
points. They, the children, are fifth graders so I did not introduce money
techniques but that is only another graph from which to choose points.
My point is that it really isn't in the system's itself that is the issue.
These children did not realize they were trading stocks and commodities.
Rather it is the determination we make in abiding by our decisions be they
trading or in other life pursuits. TTP is a powerful influence in helping us
abide by these decisions we make.
I have but one goal for the year. I want to work with an outstanding trader
and experience all the ideas and conflicting emotions that may result.
My thanks to you Ed, and Charles for hosting the seminar.
Date: Thu, 15 Jan
Dear Ed -
I am writing this to you not hoping for any answers but to share with other
viewers of your web site how the principles of the Trading Tribe have begun
to change my life.
First some interesting coincidence:
1) When I wrote my New Years resolution and proof read, my whole body
started shaking like I was having a seizure.
2) I got into a an argument with my father over a trade (I trade his
account). Afterwards while walking down the street, I thought to myself
"You don't scream at the ones you love". At that exact moment,
there was the huge sound of breaking glass.
next to me had dropped a mirror. I kept walking and was thinking how I
hadn't actually screamed at my father in the last argument because it was
via email. I thought how actually I was improving my relations with him over
the last few years.
At that exact
moment, an errant soccer ball was headed my way down the street. I was
always bad at soccer in grade school so I was a little nervous about
returning the ball. I kicked it back perfectly. I kept walking and thinking
about how I need to step outside myself and observe myself from a 3rd
persons perspective like having a twin follow me around giving me feedback.
At that exact
moment I almost slammed into some person walking by me. Our noses literally
came within 1 inch of each other as I thought the word twin
Other things this site has me thinking about. Whenever there is drama now, I
always ask myself, "What is Fred trying to tell CM." How does this
relate to the drama of my youth where I was bullied much of the time and my
distorted views of friendship and loyalty. I feel like the Aha moment is
coming any day now.
I am now a lot more conscious of my emotions of trading. Whenever I lose, I
feel like I am sitting in a Jacuzzi of warm urine.
And when I am
winning, it feels better than sex.
I try to actually
feel these feelings. Generally I cut my losses at 7% and take profits at
25%. Within that range, my emotions are always yo-yoing around. I realized
last night that this seemed unproductive.
I should really be
getting emotional when my profits get outside that range because it means I
am not following my plan. Within the range, I just feel the emotion wash
over me, then wash away and not let it collect. Aha!!!!
Thu, 15 Jan 2004
Dear Mr. Seykota
I am very interested in trend-following systems, but I have to master the
So, what does "on stop close only" mean?
Does it mean to enter a position at the close of the day when the signal
occurs or at the opening of the following day?
stop-close-only order is a stop order that you may place before the close,
and that activates only during the close.
might consider reading several books on the basics of trading - to learn
about the business as well as the jargon.
Wed, 14 Jan 2004
Please help me understand judges better.
What are signs a sender has a judge active during a TTP session?
What is/are the step/s to experience the judge?
What if there is another judge? How do I tell another judge is on top of the
sender and how do I address that next judge?
How/when do I
encourage movement in a judging hierarchy as a receiver?
Lastly, how/when do I encourage the sender to experience his/her happy
judge? What are some signposts that the sender reaches the happy judge?
Thank you for your help.
say you have a stuck feeling.
you also have a judge, who accounts for the stuck-ness, who judges the
feeling to be bad, so you do not want to experience it.
judge is just another feeling, so if you experience the judge, he
disappears, and then you can go back and experience your original feeling
more easily, without judgment.
may happen so quickly, that you might notice the judge feeling and the
original feeling disappear simultaneously.
you have trouble experiencing the judge, then you likely have a grumpy
judge, one who has another judge, judging him.
may have a whole hierarchy of judges, all judging down, keeping your
original feeling stuck, at the bottom of the stack.
you keep working your way up the stack of judges, eventually you find a
judge who really likes being a judge, one who has no judges judging
him. This is your happy judge. He sits at the top of the whole
stack. You typically have very little trouble experiencing the happy judge.
soon as you do, the whole stack collapses.
a beauty contest
a job for a happy judge.
Wed, 14 Jan
Validating Other People's Feelings - Unexpected Results
I returned yesterday from my vacation in a beautiful paradisiacal beach
called Natal, in Brazil. I enjoyed the time to relax and have a good time
and also to experience a lot of feelings, which turned out to be a great way
to relax even more (and also learn about myself, how I presently store
feelings and the importance of their positive intentions).
I came back and read the last 20 days of FAQ that I missed. One e-mail
caught up my attention: the one that a fellow tell us that he tried to go to
the US from Canada but the border police stopped him from doing so.
I want to share with the FAQ readers one interesting event in this vacation.
Before that, I shall explain the following information: when I go to the
beach, I usually take only the driver's license + the rented vehicle's
documents + a predefined amount of cash to spend at the beach (not the whole
wallet with credit card etc).
The problem is that in one of the days, back in the hotel I forgot to put
the driver's license + vehicle's documents back in my wallet and went to
dinner at night. In the way back a police officer stopped me and asked for
the car's documents, which were in the hotel (0.1 mile from the police
post). I told him the truth: I had negligently forgotten the documents in
the hotel. (intentions = results, since I wanted to get lazy during that
vacation. To forget the documents was clearly a consequence of my intentions
in that vacation and I was fully accepting the responsibility)
Now, here's where the story gets important: The police officer was
not, in any way, worried about the forgotten documents when he spoke to me;
he consistently talked about his authority and how he ran that highway in
his own manner clearly acting out a drama regarding his authority.
I decided to
hear him fully in a very honest way validating his intention to act his
authority in the highway that he controlled. I did not question him in
any way. I just let him speak about his feelings. As I validated his feeling
of wanting to exercise his authority, he soon began to change his facial
_expression to a peaceful one. He slowly dissolved the drama and even
started talking in a very smooth way. I noticed that his shoulders +
trapezoid were less tight. The result was amazing and unexpected: as I was
acting like a receiver, the police officer was able to fully experience his
feeling of wanting to punish me in order to state his authority. (My
Soon, he began to acknowledge and tell me that it is normal for tourists who
come to his city in the summer seeking rest and a good time to forget things
in the hotel because they are more relaxed.
The unexpected result: he decided not to give me the ticket since the hotel
was so near, it was late at night and I was with my girlfriend just enjoying
his city. Then he kindly (opposed to the first approach) asked me to go
back to the hotel and bring in the documents just to make sure the car had
no problems with the local police. I went back to the hotel, took the
documents, gave it to him and it was ok. When I was back his _expression
was clearly relaxed (in comparison to the first minute I saw him) - benefit
of experiencing his strong feelings.
That experience was also good for me. I learned that it is very positive to
validate other people's feelings (not because of the leniency regarding the
ticket, but because of what I learned in that process of talking to the
police officer the way I did). I also had an AHA and felt very comfortable
with myself and, in that moment, I felt the wisdom that arose from that
interaction with the police officer. If I also decided to act my dramas to
the police officer, that night could have been a disaster to my vacation,
but it turned out to be a great enriching experience. (my personal feedback)
Ed, thank you very much. I wish you and your family a very healthy and
prosperous never-ending now moment of 2004!
Genipabu Beach - Natal - Brazil
Famous for wild buggy rides.
Tue, 13 Jan 2004
Yes, my previous post (Jan.6, Trading and Baseball) left off with a rather
ambiguous question/remark. Let me try to rephrase in SVO-p:
"I wonder if
I can relate effective trading to the above quote from Ted Williams?"
For example, I can think: "do not swing (enter) at any old pitch
(trade). Wait for one you can hit (for a trade that fits your system's
Is that better in regards to SVO-p?
Also, regarding aha's ... I am due for my first hot seat soon and feel a
bit nervous about not being able to "feel" my feelings or get an
It's a churning
tightness in my tummy that pushes up into my throat, and warm blood rising
to my facial skin.
an aha mean you can suddenly connect a feeling to an old drama, much like
the example from your page (below)? Or do aha's sometimes just involve the
feeling of release with no "enlightenment" obvious?
Maybe I worry about details too much. Worry seems like it might be a good
item to take into my first hot seat.
Art: Yes, that's it! It's that old belt, hitting me. Whew! (feeling a
release of tension,
a sense of lightness, as in feeling light, happy, joyous; being in the
Art: (later) Wow, I just see something else. I carry that old drama into my
trading. I keep setting up situations in which I "get burned" and
your feelings of worry, and your nervous feelings about going on to the hot
seat might be good entry points.
hot seat process is like trend following. Keep going with the flow,
and keep noticing and experiencing your feelings.
on the AHA, as a goal, from the start, is like concentrating on physical
release, as a goal, during lovemaking.
real joy is in the process, as you, Fred, CM and your receivers all share an
intimate journey. The AHA is a
bit anticlimactic, something to enjoy in the afterglow.
about the AHA
not the same as
experiencing the process.
Tue, 13 Jan 2004
I wish to participate in starting a fund at a brokerage house. To
convince the bosses I have my track record, few piles of back-tests and ...
a translated version of TTP.
I am most grateful
for you granting me the permission to use the material. I think every
manager and client should have the possibility to join the tribe.
I conduct TTP with my closest family and manage to resolve ONE BIG drama:
pissed at my daddy anymore !! Nevertheless, I do not feel THAT much better,
seems I have many, many knots still in me. Yes, I can feel them in me ooooo
I now change the subject;
Ed, are you an angel?
Do you ever consider promoting and helping the young and ambitious? Of
course you do! That is what FAQ is all about, right? Do you ever feel that
somewhere in this world are people who could be very, very happy indeed if
you, well ... gave into management, say ... 1 million bucks for a good start
and just watched them grow under your wings?
OK, here is the deal. You toss in, after me convincing you further,
1,000,000 USD into my fund. I multiply that by N>1.5 in a couple of years
and take a tiny little 20% reward from net profits. Hey, you've got it all,
right? I mean, what if I loose all of the money? Well, we can then take our
feelings into TTP, I guess. Just kidding ... no harm done, I shall gladly
present to you my system ... As you read this proposal, I strongly suggest
that you consider me being a true believer that intentions = results. My
intentions are to use other peoples money to make money!
If FAQ does not endorse such information, how can I reach you otherwise?
convince the bosses you have a track record, how about just show them your
may use the materials on this site for free, for non-commercial purposes
only. See ground rules.
intention seems to be to use other peoples money. To run this drama, you
might consider hooking up with people who want their money used.
your intention becomes to safeguard, protect and nurture other peoples'
money, and to make a profit for other people, you might attract some serious
might consider taking your feelings of wanting to take money from people, as
a starting point, into the process.
Other Peoples Assets
a sign you still might be
like a baby.
Tue, 13 Jan 2004
Hi Ed, I think maybe you will be intrigued by this.
Rube Goldberg device at the link seems to work once every 500 trials or so.
about par for intricate devices, including fundamental analytics.
for intricate designs
Tue, 13 Jan 2004
I offer a thought for novices like myself.
K = W - (1-W)/R
W = historical win ratio (wins / total trades)
R = winning payoff rate
R is approximated by (average profit)/(absolute value of average
Using a little
K = W - (1-W)/(P/L)
K = W - (1-W)*(L/P)
K*P = W*P - (1-W)*L
The right hand side of this equation is the expected value of a trading
system, E, since L is an absolute value.
Now, K*P = E. Resolving for the Kelly Value,
K = E/P.
This states that the Kelly value, the optimized bet size, can also be
expressed as the ratio of the expected value of the trading system to the
average profit of the system.
If I can come up with a trading system that has a positive expected value (E
> 0), I can make a bet. Otherwise, don't bet! It also shows that unless I
win 100% of the time (E = P), I will not bet the entire account no matter
how small or infrequent the losses are.
The thought to offer is a different perspective on the Kelly value, even
though it still takes the same amount of work to calculate K as before.
Before deriving the alternate equation, I stared at the original Kelly
formula, read Kelly's published paper, and did not understand how a bet
could be optimized that way. CM was confused about the Kelly value. Fred
warned that the Kelly formula shouldn't be trusted to optimize bet size.
Having CM express K as E/P makes it clear for CM, since CM already
understands E and P well. CM lets Fred know that the Kelly value is useful.
Fred no longer warns CM about the Kelly value.
Regards from the [location] Tribe.
that, per your approximation, if R = 2:1, R can just as well be 4:2,
your notion, that R = P/L, allows
& L to be any values with quotient = 2, so P is indefinite.
your K = E/P, then, is indefinite
math seems to indicate: heavy betting for small P systems, infinite betting
as P approaches zero.
your defining wording about R, "R is approximated by" is
not in SVO-p.
give no S-ubject, no mention of exactly who is approximating.
might try re-writing your derivation in SVO-p, so as to identify who takes
responsibility for inventing the approximation, what credentials he has as a
does not provide analytics, such as a warning about optimizing bet size, in
a logical conversational mode.
shares experiences, typically as feelings, rarely as language or logic.
might take your feelings of wanting to manage Fred, into the process.
is a Language
say pi r squared
some say pies are round.
Tue, 13 Jan 2004
I wonder, what are the qualities of a great trader in your view?
don't have a target set of qualities, toward which I aim my students.
intend for thems to find, within themselves, their own, special unique
qualities, that support right livelihood, including their trading.
Arrows, Not People
Tue, 13 Jan 2004
Date: 18:46:29 -0200
sharing feelings in a small group is part of TTP.
You might consider taking your feelings about wanting attention to a Tribe
Yes. I am doing weekly meetings with some family members. Thanks.
you might like to describe your Tribe experience, including a specific
feeling you initially don't like, and how your receivers help you experience
it and discover its positive intention.
Mon, 12 Jan 2004
allowing Indians to invest abroad
I trust all is well with you and your family.
Any Indian citizen can now walk into a bank, buy dollars up to $25,000 a
year and remit it abroad on anything.
Firstly, I would request you to please accept my funds for management, as
this has been my long-standing desire even prior to our meeting in May 2000.
Unfortunately, I did not exercise any exit strategy in the tech meltdown and
eroded a significant part of my wealth ( 75-80% ), additionally the Indian
government did not permit these investments at that time. Now fortuitously,
the Indian Government has permitted us to invest abroad, (hopefully they
will increase the annual limit in future) and I am also in a better position
to do so.
I would like to begin by remitting 50,000 USD and add to it, as and when I
am able to generate additional funds. I can commit to remit an additional
USD 50,000 during this year.
Over the years I have been an ardent fan of yours and consequently most of
my family, friends and clients are by now very familiar with your track
They too are ready to send 50-100k each. At the moment I have received
indications totaling approx USD 2,000,000 from four clients, and I am sure
this amount will increase as more will join, and existing investors add to
their initial investments, as I propose to do. (Each Indian household can
send 50 to 100 thousand USD p.a., given that most will have 2-4 adult
members.) I shall receive more clarifications on the Governments’
notification by tomorrow.
I have with me the Futures Customer Agreements etc of Bear Sterns and the
contact details of Mr. Steven R. Trimble, given to me in 2000.
If you please agree to the above proposal, then I would like to seek
clarifications on the details for opening my own and client accounts with
them or others, if there has been any change in your brokerage house since.
Also, I would request an appointment to meet with you to get started as
quickly as possible – ( before the Gov changes its mind ! :)
days, futures contracts may have short-term price excursions of several
thousand dollars per contract.
series of limit moves may run your possible risk for one contract up
to multiples of that.
if you set your risk per trade to, say 1/2% of your equity, then allowing
for a $5,000 loss would indicate an account size of about $1,000,000.
many seasoned professionals consider risking 1/2% to be lively, 1% to be
aggressive and 5% to be maniacal.
do not wish to create or administer a pool or a partnership.
you can create and manage your group and present it as a single client, I
might then consider it further, if you can also show me that you can ...
Properly manage a group of investors, including calculating proper
allocation of profits and losses to the participants, and proper filing of
tax statements. Note: deposits and withdrawals by independent
participants, at different times, during swings in portfolio value, may
complicate the math.
Make sure the participants fully understand the highly risky nature of
trading, and that losses are quite likely - and make sure that people put a
lot less money at risk than they can afford to lose, both financially and
Determine the amount of daily, monthly and yearly volatility you can handle
- and determine a stop-out drawdown point (uncle point) for the entire
Come up with a way to keep the participants on board, during both
substantial drawdowns and occasional winning streaks
Make sure that participants realize that a trend-following money manager
does not have reasons for a trade, or know why something is moving, or even
care, and that he typically buys at highs and sells at lows, and gets lots
you can comply with all this, I might consider helping you locate an
appropriate manager and strategy for your funds.
money is easy.
just buy some good stock
it don't go up,
don't buy it in the first place.
Less interested in
return on my money,
the return of it.
Mon, 12 Jan 2004
Trend Following Book
Here's the cover
of Mike Covel's new book.
Great Traders Make Millions
Up or Down Markets
/ Prentice Hall
Covel shares a wealth of information about trend following from his unique
vantage point as the creator and manager of the comprehensive, and free,
trader resource at:
might even find Trend Following contains a few words about this site
- a first for FAQ, and quite an honor for a 1-year-old.
Mon, 12 Jan 2004
I trust this e-mail finds you well. I regularly read the FAQ and want to
start an intentional community close to where I live.
I desire to learn more about TTP, and currently there is no intentional
community where I live. I have spoken to the London tribe and for logistical
reasons, it makes more sense to start a tribe here in Hampshire.
May I have your permission to start an intentional community, with the aim
of doing TTP, in Romsey, Hampshire, England.
Thank you for insightful answers to FAQ. They are helping me in the ongoing
process of becoming a better trader.
little north of Southampton
Mon, 12 Jan 2004
There is more to
it, Ed. I feel an urge to share my truth until I can accept it. FAQ
provides me with a big audience.
For instance, I feel that buying new highs and selling new lows is a sound
and valid trend following strategy. Yet, I feel this urge of telling it to
somebody. The moment I proclaim it, I start to accept the truth.
thoughts in front of a large audience seems like an extension of your drama.
sharing feelings in a small group is part of TTP.
might consider taking your feelings about wanting attention to a Tribe
Clip & Midi: http://www.mfiles.co.uk/
Mon, 12 Jan 2004
Continue Hardball =
Hi Ed !
Thank you for the new subtleties in the hardball process at the recent tribe
meeting. You said to take literally whatever comes up, and that we usually
only clear enough away so that the target can be accomplished, while there
is still other stuff going on.
In my heart I know
there is, but I didn't get to it at the meeting. You say we can continue. [Name]'s
intent is to continue, and so is mine.
So three days after the tribe meeting, the next layer erupts. I am five
years old, lying face down on the floor having a tantrum, while my father is
spanking me, trying to get me dressed to go to Sunday school. My mother is
standing next to him, crying, asking him to stop. I can't see if I went to
Sunday school that morning or not. I experience this intensely.
Several AHA's result:
1. I see how this is knot activates my dealings with authority figures,
including the authorities involved in my target. I recall many instances
when this knot governed my actions, and feel the judgments about them and
the emotions connected to them now collapse.
2. Unexpectedly, I see how this knot creates confusion about whether I
should notice my inner perceptions, or ignore them and follow outer
authority. I fear if I follow inner perceptions again, a big somebody may
punish me again. Safer to just black them out.
After about an hour these polarities resolve. I am done. There is nothing
between me and the target.
Then the next layer erupts.
I perceive my mother worried about another miscarriage, and considering an
abortion. I am afraid and confused. She regrets not bearing a child when she
The aha: This knot creates tentative feelings at crucial junctures during my
life. Do I have the right to exist? Will unknown authorities terminate me?
Maybe I should leave first, so they don't have a chance. I should stay
curled up, ready to die. Why reach out, when I could die at any moment? Dark
confusions which have no name, yet I clearly see how they cloud perception
and inhibit action.
It's very late at night. I fall asleep. In the morning [my wife] mentions
she dreamt she saw me at a meeting with some other men she didn't know. Later
in the day, I notice my persistent cough is gone. Hmmm ...
may include violation of personal boundaries, betrayal, loss of allies and
may install self-protecting knots, that entrain a lifetime of
self-perpetuating dramas, typically involving attractions to getting various
types of spankings.
this way, parents may compound naughty children into knotty ones.
way to dissolve a knot, and the craving for the associating drama, is to
allow Fred to fully share the experience with CM.
Fred and CM integrate the experience, you may notice AHA's and
reconstruction of personal boundaries.
you are noticing AHA's indicates you, Fred and CM are on the path.
the DIM hot seat process
way to untie a knot
to experience the event
Mon, 12 Jan 2004
TT in New Brunswick
May I have permission to start a Trading Tribe in Fredericton, New
Mon, 12 Jan 2004
Dear Ed Seykota,
Now, I do the TTP with my wife (there are no groups nearby and I don't feel
like starting one by myself, although I know that my wife and I constitute a
"small" of TTP group).
It is amazing the difference between CM trying to analyze what is going
on and Fred expressing himself.
For example, consciously I can't identify any judge and tend to say that
"my feelings" are indifferent to me.
On the other hand,
while doing the TTP with my wife I can see, as clear as crystal, all the
judges along the way.
Thanks for your great insight and willingness to share the process.
Family = The Essential Tribe.
Sun, 11 Jan 2004
I have funds that I need transferred out using legal means but since
I am still a serving government staff, I would not be able to do this on my
The amount that is
involved is the sum of $22,000,000.00 USD. (20% of which is yours if
you agree to help me).
I understand that
you would be a bit worried about being a part of this transaction but
I want you to understand that at no point would you need to give me your
bank account information, it is the paying authority, that after
confirming the ownership of the funds, that would ask you for the details
of that nature and to this end, I would need you to open a new bank
account that would be used for the purpose of this transaction only.
You are then required to forward the remaining balance (Minus the Interest,
handling and tax clearance charges, which Will be offset by Us &
Deducted from the transferred sum) to a nominated bank account in the Cayman
Islands. I don't think I need to spell out the importance of Secrecy
in this Matter considering the amount involved.
Let me state clearly here that the account that you would be providing does
not need to have funds in it, it is only needed to be active and be able to
receive funds. So, if I don't hear from you within three days I will assume
you are not interested and will solicit for a new partner, but if you know
you are interested let me know.
List your phone
& fax Numbers so we may communicate with you. This is important as we
would have to talk about the modalities of the transaction. You should also
note that efforts are being made to make sure that everything is done
legally and the final payment centre is in America, that is after all our
documentations have been crossed checked and verified that everything is
You would be
dealing directly with the payment officials in America this I am making sure
of for the sake of transparency.
Waiting to hear from you.
might consider taking your feelings of integrity and guilt into the process.
if you want to enroll others in your drama, you might send your photo, your
physical address and phone number, along with your solicitation letter, over
to the nice folks at the Justice Department.
Suggests Less Fraud
of the Art Form is Secrecy ...
and part is the Urgent Request.
Also Tip Off
Before you Invest.
Here for Sleuthing Tune:
a Positive Intention
Sat, 10 Jan 2004
The Good Thing
and the Bad Thing
The good thing is:
"Successful trading has nothing to do with forecasting the market. It’s
numbers game: knowing the risk, knowing the odds, and placing your trades
discipline. It's not so exciting, but that's what makes money".
The bad thing is:
I again can't do it correctly, but I'm trying with all my forces.
what's good and what's bad, what's beautiful and what's ugly is the act of
labeling or judging.
can interfere with going with the flow, and with trading.
Labels Requires Judgment
Staying in the Garden of Eden:
Eat the Judgment Fruit
the the fruit from the tree
the knowledge of good and evil."
Rules of the Garden
Fri, 09 Jan 2004
Do you plan to
hold a workshop in Europe sometime?
am getting some inquiries for a Workshop in Europe, maybe around mid-year.
6, 2003 - January 9, 2004
Fri, 9 Jan 2004
Dear Ed, I am not sure if this is something you feel appropriate to publish
on your website but if you do then feel free to do so.
I have finally made a decision not to go with any third-party software for
any longer. [I am]unwilling to throw money away on something that might
prove not of good use to me).
So, I am building
a testing platform “entirely” in C++, right as we speak. I know that it
is going to take me up some time, 3 months for this iteration at least, but
I am going to do it as I am strongly commitment and dedicated human being.
Let me explain what my problem is, I ordered and received a CD from [Name]
(a data provider) and was wondering what adjusting mechanism you use and if
it is reasonable for me to use
de-trending mechanism for commodities i.e. energies, metals, soft’s
given that they can go negative over time.
-- and another adjusting mechanism (where no de-trending is used) for the
rest of the markets i.e. currencies, notes and bonds where the likelihood
of them going negative is somewhat reduced
With regards to my financial situation and my ability to endure drawdown
without being physiologically effected, I can say that I hold a day job,
paying north of $1e5 per year (a reasonable good wage so to speak), intend
to keep it, and that I am very much eager to trade a diversified portfolio
of futures markets “only” with the objective of taking no more then 30
to 35% in drawdown per year at the most. Having said that, I think either
Turtle or some sort of volatility trend/counter-trend breakout system
(current systems I am looking at) would fit the bill.
Please give me some suggestion as to the direction of the software
design/coding I should head into, as I think you have more experience
in developing software then I do. Please note that I am not looking for
specific system parameters or anything along those lines.
Again, thank you very much for your generosity and time.
does not provide reasons or tell people what they should do. See ground
don't know how to enter a trade for a de-trend instrument, or a
futures prices indicate you may be splicing deliveries in a way that
integrates the carrying charge differentials.
you are writing your own code, you might consider modeling real life - say,
close out your positions as they mature and enter new positions in the
Fri, 9 Jan 2004
With reference to my post of 6 Jan and your reply; thank you for the
You say "TTP intends to associate Fred and CM in a dialog about
feelings, in an Intentional Community or Tribe setting."
How do you define "dialog"?
definition for Dialog, Dialogue:
Music, a passage for two or more parts, suggesting conversation. (Dia = 2;
Log = Word)
definition of dialog is likely less important to TTP than willingness to
engage the process and find out how connecting Fred and CM works.
Flatt & Earl Scruggs
of The Art
breakdown, in bluegrass music,
a custom in which musicians
turns playing the lead
listening to each other.
Fri, 09 Jan 2004
Please find my
details below for the Tribe Directory Index:
I look forward our first meeting and to many AHA's.
Thu, 8 Jan 2004
Prefers DIM to TTP
Ed Says: Listening to others may do more to change their opinions than
arguing with them.
You might take your feelings of wanting to change and control people into
My problem is that I try to listen to someone who doesn't talk. Or at least
I expect her to talk, to express her feelings. I have indeed many
expectations of her that never come true.
I am supposedly a long term trader. At least I wish to be. All I need is a
trend, a clear long term trend. Yet I often find myself squinting a chart
and five indicators, in a day-to-day basis, looking for one.
seem to like to write to FAQ, again and again, describing this and that
does not deliver advice on what you should do - nor wish to enroll as an
advisor in your "help me" drama, nor enable your DIM process.
mission, should you choose to accept it, is to take the feeling that propels
you to ask for advice, into the process.
for Musical Inspiration: